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NYC’s Socialist Experiment: Why Mamdani Won—Why It Will Fail—and Why Voters Fell for the Promises

  • Writer: scottforbes
    scottforbes
  • 1 day ago
  • 4 min read

Updated: 15 minutes ago

New York City just voted for “free” buses, rent freezes, city-run groceries, and a $30 minimum wage. Sounds great—until NYC voters realize nothing is free. Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old self-proclaimed democratic socialist, won the mayoral race on November 4, 2025, in the highest-turnout election in over 50 years. Early voting surged fivefold, fueled by his bold promises.

What didn’t matter to voters is that Mamdani lacks experience running any company, organization, or large-scale operation. He has never held a private-sector job in management, such as CEO, director, or even mid-level oversight of teams, budgets, or operations. Does his lack of practical governance experience make him unfit for leading a city like New York, which has a $100+ billion budget and 8+ million residents? Supporters say his community organizing skills translate to effective leadership in public service.


Why Voters Fell for Mandami


Financial pain hits people hard and fast; and consequences feel distant. A renter paying $2,000 a month cheers “free groceries” today and ignores the $3 billion estimated cost tag or the tax hike to pay for it. Politicians sell fairness, not spreadsheets. Social media amplifies outrage and buries nuance.


The winning coalition crossed generations: Gen Z renters, boomers squeezed by costs, public-sector unions hungry for job protections and raises, progressives fed up with centrists, even middle-income homeowners shielding adult kids from rent spikes. Most don’t own capital, pay little in taxes, or have never run a business. “Tax the rich” feels painless. Class envy spreads; facts don’t.


Why Voters Never Get It


1.  Instant Gratification Bias — Free stuff feels like a win today; the invoice arrives years later, mailed to someone else.


2.  Public School Econ 101? Missing. — Curricula skip scarcity, profit, or why Venezuela’s supermarkets went empty. Kids graduate thinking “government” is a magic ATM.


3.  Dependency Feedback Loop — The more “free” services you get, the less you question the cost. Recipients become a voting bloc defending the system that taxes others to pay them.


4.  Media Echo Chamber — Outrage algorithms reward “eat the rich” memes; boring budget charts get zero likes. Nuance dies in the timeline.


5.  Moral Posturing Over Math — Calling groceries a “right” sounds noble; pointing out the $60 million tab for five pilot stores sounds mean.


Why People Never Learn


•  Memory Wipe Every Cycle — The pain of failure fades; the promise of “this time it’s different” reboots. Detroit’s collapse? Ancient history. Venezuela? “That wasn’t real socialism.”


•  Blame Diffusion — When the system cracks, the culprit is always “the rich who left,” “greedy corporations,” or “racism”—never the policy.


•  Generational Amnesia — Each cohort thinks it invented fairness. Boomers forget the 1970s fiscal crises; Gen Z never lived through them.


•  Insulated Elites — Politicians, academics, and media live in bubbles where costs are abstract and virtue is currency. They preach from penthouses.


•  Sunk-Cost Fallacy — Once invested in the dream, admitting failure feels like betrayal. Better to double down than switch.


Are Democrat Voters Stupid?


Neither—just human. The same emotional wiring that makes people fall for lottery tickets or miracle diets drives support for “free” promises. It’s not a partisan flaw; it’s a voter flaw. It’s inexperience. Capitalism demands understanding incentives and trade-offs, knowledge many never gain. Heck, we’re doing a lousy job educating, period.


And Democrats lean into this emotion more because their base rewards compassion signaling over cold math. Republicans do it too—just with different slogans (trickle-down, anyone?). The difference? Progressives promise stuff; conservatives promise freedom. Both oversell. But when the stuff runs out and the freedom costs more, the hangover hits the same.

Case Study: Mamdani’s Fresh “Food for All” Flop


Just announced: city-run Public Provisioning Centers—$1 bread, $0.99 apples, $2 milk—starting in Harlem, Chinatown, East Village. Subsidized by a “Bitcoin Justice Fund” (yes, really). Community boards will set “fair” prices. Critics call it Bloomberg’s soda ban on steroids. Mamdani: “If supermarkets can’t compete with justice, that’s on them.” Translation: $60 million for five stores, private grocers bail, shelves thin out, lines form, taxes climb. Same old script.

The Promises That Can’t Survive Reality

NYC’s $115 billion budget can’t swallow $3 billion in new subsidies and probably even the pilot grocery stores $60 million without hitting up someone or some group to pay. Government hides costs; it never cuts them.


Rent freezes sound compassionate, but stabilized units already face 40 percent higher maintenance backlogs (NYU Furman Center). Landlords defer repairs, convert units, or abandon buildings. San Francisco’s vacancy rate sits at 3 percent, because the rental housing market is a “mess.” It’s a supply and demand thingy. The result: black markets, decay, and shrinking supply. Developers need 20–30 percent margins to build. Mandates kill cranes. California builds 80 percent fewer homes per capita than Texas.

So, will taxes skyrocket. The middle class ($100K–$250K) already pays 65 percent of income tax; the top 1 percent pays 40 percent—but they have the means to flee. Citadel moved its business from Chicago to Miami. Chicago has lost 70,000 jobs and faces billion-dollar deficits and grocery deserts. Who will leave NYC? JP Morgan? American Express? The NYSE?

Capitalism Needs Capital—and Comprehension


Capitalism isn’t a slogan or a vibe—it’s a system that hinges on two non-negotiable pillars: access to capital and comprehension of incentives. Strip those away, and what you’re left with isn’t freedom; it’s a hollow shell where “free” services masquerade as progress while quietly eroding the engine of creation. The irony? The loudest cheers for alternatives often come from those who’ve never footed the bill.


Capital isn’t just money—it’s the accumulated surplus of past labor, risk, and innovation, transformed into tools that let the next idea breathe. A farmer needs a tractor, not a tweet about equity. An app developer needs cloud credits, not a government grant that comes with strings. “Free” services don’t just crowd out markets—they rewire expectations.


The Bottom Line

Capitalism without capital is cosplay. Capitalism without comprehension is a cargo cult. The system doesn’t need defenders—it needs participants who can read a balance sheet and spot a subsidy’s hidden cost. Until then, the young will keep voting for magic beans, and the old will keep paying for them.


The Way Forward


Not laissez-faire—smart systems: real opportunity, strong safety nets, and economic literacy. Teach people that profit signals value and “free” always means someone pays.


Mamdani channels genuine frustration, but he can’t deliver without spooking capital. Success would challenge orthodoxy; failure will prove critics right. Democracy has spoken. Reality will answer. If things feel expensive now, wait until they’re “free.” NYC will pay in taxes, decay, and exodus.

 
 
 

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